tencor_7144. A list of @tencor_7144's photographs and videos. tencor_7144

Quote Tweet. 8:25 PM · May 15, 2023. Quote Tweet. Elite POCs view their culture as a status symbol to differentiate them from other elites. It is very clear that 2022 was a bluer environment than 2020 in Michigan if you look at comparisons between the topline, Congressional Generic Ballot, and even legislative generic ballot. “Good”In this conversation. 2:31 AM · Jun 23, 2023. “The tale of two campaigns”“Name a Goldwater-Biden voter”@tencor_7144. I'm going to use the LG numbers because a) better to be apples to apples with 2017 b) No third party on the ballot which is what will happen in the vast majority of these races. " / Twitter. ”“Warnock is not up 60 in Cobb, pretty sure that's an error or something has gone horribly off about this race”In this conversation. Verified account Protected Tweets @; Suggested users“@tencor_7144 @Tekken_Guy @averyhatestwt I really screwed her didn’t I She’s better off running against Kean”Log in. East Tennessee and Lancaster, Pennsylvania and surroundings are the only two areas in the United States that have never elected a Democrat to the [email protected]_7144. The "my former electoral glory was destroyed by 2022" caucus. Ohio secretary of state tells donors he'll enter GOP Senate primary 'soon'. e. In this conversation. and our own intern @tencor_7144 is one of the winners!. “Wow! It looks like the only Republican with a chance to win the Senate seat just decided not to run. Not sure this is true: In the >75% Native Precincts in Arizona (which make up a 95% Native district by VAP) Clinton 75% Trump 16% Biden 79% Trump 19% I think it's important to note that natives are far from a monolith, and different tribes may swing in different directions. “New New Hampshire POLL from St. In the 2019 VA Senate elections, Democrats. Race is over. LD-26 (REP) Incumbents Joseph Pennacchio, Jay Webber, and Brian Bergen win, defeating a strong opposition slate. Be creative. [email protected]_7144. Quote Tweet. LD-23 (DEM) Denise King wins, defeating Roger Bacon”“Unfortunately for Dave the elections will be taking place on Tuesday”“Nail-biter to see if Gavin Newsom can win by more than Ron DeSantis”@tencor_7144. How tf can people actually believe Michigan is the best, it’s an awful state. 7:17 PM · Jul 9, 2023. What is your reaction?”@tencor_7144 Sam Brown has a compelling resume on paper and demonstrated impressive fundraising capabilities in 2022, but his campaign abilities under the microscope this time around. Comment below if you want to join. 11:40 PM · May 11, 2023. Rayyan. S. Verified account Protected Tweets @; Suggested [email protected]_7144 If this result tonight doesn’t trigger a wake up call to GOP leadership, the loss of Alaska will hopefully do that. Anselm SENATE Don Bolduc (R): 48% Maggie Hassan (D-inc): 47% GOVERNOR Chris Sununu (R-inc): 54% Tom Sherman (D): 37% CD-01 Karoline Leavitt (R): 51% Chris Pappas (D-inc) 45% CD-02 Ann Kuster (D-inc): 50% Robert Burns (R): 42%”“1. Here she is, talking about the need to work with Republicans, and how it's bad to pass laws with Dem votes alone. was able to get respectable suburban reversion from the Somerset and Morris portions of the district, he only reverted Hunterdon 5 points right. “This one is definitely going to a runoff”In this conversation. That would explain why it worked on TF 1. Political Election Projections on Twitter: "So what lol" / Twitter. com. org. [email protected]_7144 Your opinion towards "appropriation" is a class shibboleth. 7% in Clark EV. My Republican followers, be sure to make your voices heard as y'all are currently lagging in participation! Quote Tweet. Can’t wait for the odds to flip a hundred times on election [email protected]_7144 · Jun 18. “BIG MOMENTUM”While it still doesn't make sense to talk about the exact odds of any senate race, I'm going to put out my internal rough odds anyways: Dem %: MN: 85 PA: 80 WI: 70 MI: 70 NV: 65 AZ: 55 MT: 40 TX: 30 OH: 25 FL: 15 WV: 10 Remember: probabilities are correlated across statesIn this conversation. ”@tencor_7144. You never hear about it because it benefits the Democrats, but NV has one of the US's worst gerrymanders. Saved [email protected]_7144. 5 and not [email protected]_7144. 18K Followers. Sign up“Will we be getting any states in the dark blue or dark red club in 2024? (i. They're constitutionally barred from winning California's 55 electoral votes if they run on a ticket. Location: New Jersey, CD-06…Joined June 2021. 8h. Verified account Protected Tweets @; Suggested users2023 Election Projections on Twitter: "Good" / Twitter. Political Election Projections. In the Assembly, Democrats start outright favored in 103 seats, which is 3 more than the 100 supermajority threshold. In this conversation. @tencor_7144. If the mail/in-person break down of the early vote is around 65/35, and Dems win mail 49-25 and Reps win in-person 48-34, Dems are ahead by ~10. Political Election Projections on Twitter: "Tilt R" / Twitter. 07”“The tale of two Trump +4 districts”Replying to. . Game for Senate control, that is. Step 1 complete, many court battles ahead. idk i think people are just overthinking it i don’t think it’s incredibly difficultPolitical Election Projections @tencor_7144 New Jersey, CD-6 Rockefeller Republican Pragmatist, Populist, Reformist US Elections Analyzer Ross Perot Simp CENTRAL JERSEY [email protected]_7144. Account Management SocialDog; whotwi Twitter analysis; Reservations post. For better or for worse, his face may be a turnoff to voters or a constant reminder that he's a war hero“2. I honestly don't see what's wrong with this. Quote Tweet. “It's the 2022 midterms and you're shown the results of the first exit polls. Verified account Protected Tweets @; Suggested users“We don't talk about this election enough”Based on the quantifiable data (electoral history, fundraising capability, current favorability ratings) you would come up with the conclusion that DeSantis would be a formidable“@RyanJakubowski *horrible”In this conversation. I just vetoed my first bill. Good luck I guess”“GOP only needs a neutral-ish environment to win a trifecta, the House map is about even and they have a ~3% EC bias in their favor. Basically what we have now in Jersey. Congressional [email protected]_7144 there’s 48 pages, u gotta add 1/8 and 1/4 to get 3/8ths and then the remaining 5/8ths represents the 30 pages. @juliegraceb. Ron DeSantis for the Presidency. 1. Verified account Protected Tweets @; Suggested users“A story in 4 parts”“The state GOPs where the party brands were the Kemps, DeSantis, Youngkins, and DeWines in the world did well. ED turnout will be lower because of severe weather, which means that minority voters will. 230 [email protected]_7144. There will be a high-profile Senate Primary in Texas as Ted Cruz watches from the sidelines. Colin Partlan @ColinPartlan. ”In this conversation. SOS America. 50 States' Bracket Final! Maybe the most and least representative states in the USA. 1. Verified account Protected Tweets @ Protected Tweets @@tencor_7144. 20. Search query Search Twitter. How is Michigan a [email protected]_7144 The huge red wave in 2022 and minimal redistricting gains have left New York Republicans firmly on the defense in the 2024 state legislative cycle. Quote Tweet. Polling USA. Chet. Verified account Protected Tweets @; Suggested usersIn this conversation. Fundamentally he will do better early vote then ed because of democrat voters. “US on the budget "Should the federal budget be balanced in order to make moves toward slashing the deficit?" Yes 94% No 2% "The federal government will have to make a small cut to social security because it's literally 20%[email protected]_7144. 1. “All right let's hope this works. Michigan's highly competitive open Senate Race sees US Rep. Basically a lot of Democrats stayed home + Pritzker did worse than Biden in southern Illinois which was Baileys base. In this [email protected]_7144. “FINAL US HOUSE OF REPRESENTATIVES MAP REPUBLICANS: 233 DEMOCRATS: 202 Very tough calls on a lot of these. Funny fact. School choice is good but you should take away all the government funding for vouchers (the parents should have to pay for the private school if they want to send their kids there) Quote Tweet. Sonza ran for State Senate and lost 72-27 in a 74% Biden district, doesn't scream blazing good candidate but not blazing bad either. ET bipartisan Congressional Redistricting Commission. anything you find noteworthy of how the map has changed since 2020? 3. In this [email protected]_7144. (He’s from the area) 3. ·. Political Election Projections on Twitter: "50 States' Bracket Final!" / Twitter. 21m. Quote Tweet. @tencor_7144. “BREAKING: Chris Sununu has declared victory in the Oklahoma Marijuana Referendum "Oklahoma, you have shocked Manchester!"”@tencor_7144. Depends on redistricting this seat may or may not be competitive. newjerseyglobe. ·. Kemp is a traditional, cool-mannered, conservative suburban southern Republican. RemoveSearch query Search Twitter. This is turning into comedy”In this conversation. Tim Wagner was last seen losing 5 Biden-won seats by significant margins. Doug Mastriano announces that he is not running for US Senate in 2024. They're constitutionally barred from winning California's 55 electoral votes if they run on a ticket. 9:09 PM · Jul 18, 2023. Verified account Protected Tweets @; Suggested users“Garcia gained lol. Politics Matters Episode 4 | Who's Gonna Win The Senate In 2022? (Feat. tencor_7144) (April 2022) - YouTube. Saved searches. 3. Businessman Steve Dnistrian is battling against prolific fundraiser Vin Gopal Gopal (D-inc) Raised: $390,845. Sy Snyder @PoliticsPA. nitter Political Election [email protected]_7144 13 Nov 2022 Digging deeper, it seems like Monica De Le Cruz basically pared with Trump in the heavily Hispanic border areas, but. Verified account Protected Tweets @; Suggested users“7 men, choose your hero”@tencor_7144. Political Election Projections @tencor_7144. Norcross meddles in GOP primary to boost DeSilvio - New Jersey Globe. “New Morning Consult Gov Nums”@tencor_7144 · 2h. Don't really know who he is but all the news networks are reporting this candidacy so he's probably one of the more major players out [email protected]_7144 · Jun 7. Not tuned in enough to VA Pol to know what the hell is going on in that 8-way chaos named SD-01, but from most of my VA Pol mutuals it seems like Massoud is a tiny favorite. 52 Dnistrian (R) Raised: $60,754. 2. 3. @sosamericapac. “Even with a Democratic government, there is no incentive for Wisconsin or Pennsylvania to give up a huge amount of political power to advance this”@tencor_7144. James Downs. wikipedia. 12:24 AM · May 26, 2023. @TimRyanFan. Now the GOP is gonna nominate some random tea-party businessman no one's over heard of. Juliegrace [email protected]_7144. Your account, you do what you want obviously. Folks are really getting creative with how to reach that donor [email protected]_7144. Quote Tweet. There's a chance she can win the Morris organizational line”“California AG race is a pure tossup”Search query Search Twitter. Comparing Apples to Apples, using 2020 Congressional numbers show similar findings Whites: R +16 vs R +12 Blacks: D +88 vs D +84 Hispanics: D +21 vs D +25 Asians: D +36 vs D +44. simply divide 30 by 5 to get 6 pages =1/8th, and multiply by 8 to get 48 total. @[email protected]_7144. There should be a "present" option for Tulsi. Replying to @USA_Polling. The 2024 election based off a regression model combining swing state polling and national polling. Ursula [email protected]_7144. The state GOPs where Trump was still the leader via proxy got crushed. Nixon has low approvals even from Republicans Kennedy has high approvals among all [email protected]_7144. “2 likes = 1 hot take”Tim Wagner, who most recently served as the Political Director for Florida Senate Victory, was named to head the Pennsylvania Senate Democratic Campaign Committee (SDCC)[email protected][email protected]_7144. They're constitutionally barred from winning California's 55 electoral votes if they run on a ticket. 6. ) Giving workers more freedom how they bargain contracts is not going to make workers leave Michigan. Now on to Court of Appeals! @npfandos @Danjanison @RitaCiolli @poozer87 @sarbetter @TimBalk @YanceyRoy @therealjsolo @KaitlynnLisa @NickReisman @brigidbergin. He actually performed at the statewide GOP level. If Alaska falls I probably move the House to Tilt R and change my seat projection from R+26 to R+10. Verified account Protected Tweets @; Suggested users“Can the "based populists stronk in rural areas" truthers tell me why JD Vance underperformed Trump by prehistoric margins in Appalachia and Mike DeWine outperformed Trump uniformly”In this conversation. 23rd has to have a 50% Black seat which compromises the partisanship of the [email protected][email protected]_7144. ”“For reference this is the chart from 2020. CATargetBot0001 @CATargetBot0001. A list of @tencor_7144's photographs and videos. Barring something unprecedented ([email protected]_7144. I have returned to the greatest state in the union. and @EpsteinDemocrat. Crystal Quade. Verified account Protected Tweets @; Suggested users“Do you support Romeo and Juliet Laws?”@tencor_7144 That's a pretty downballot R seat and Monica Gary is a left-leaning independent who's the Stafford County Supervisor (not something to laugh at) 9:13 PM · Jun 22, 2023“Rosendale would've won against Tester in 2018 if it was a red wave and if he didn't focus too much on Tester's hunting license”@tencor_7144 Looking back, Lee Zeldin won his Senate seat by 4. Last statewide R“According to a friend of mine who works for one of the two Georgia Gov R campaigns, they believe we're going to immediately see about 35k votes (presumably early or mail votes) very soon after polls close and for the vote count to slow down after that. At the moment (and this is only 1 data point), Rs have to be happy”“Not a lot of grifting potential on the 2024 Senate map but Hawley's seat is definitely #1 on the list”“THE HOUSE POPULAR VOTE IS R +6??????”“The "my former electoral glory was destroyed by 2022" caucus”“Chuck Morse files for a 2026 Senate Run. Nikki Laurenzo @NikkiLaurenzo. Feingold outran Kerry by 10 points and Wisconsin has gotten so much bluer [email protected]_7144. Log in. “#IN01 emerging as a top tier race to go along with #VA02 ans #VA07 at the 7PM poll close”“Was Lombardo the only R that was able to defeat Sisolak?”@tencor_7144. But the board has been set, and I have cast my die. Daniella Diaz @DaniellaMicaela. RNC Research. Frank LaRose @FrankLaRose.